PRU 14: Keputusan Dan Analisis mengikut Kerusi dan Kaum

Saya mohon maaf kerana kali ini lambat membuat analisis keputusan PRU 14 yang berlangsung hampir dua minggu lalu. Sebenarnya data keputusan dan analisis sokongan mengikut kaum  sudahpun siap beberapa hari yang lepas  tetapi saya memerlukan keadaan tenang sedikit untuk menerbitkan analisis ini. Itupun saya tak lepas daripada cacian kerana  ramalan yang tersasar kali ini.

Untuk mengimbas kembali saya peturunkan angka ramalan berbanding keputusan sebenar dibawah:

PRU 14: PERBANDINGAN ANGKA KEPUTUSAN KERUSI PARLIMEN

ANGKA SEBENAR		BN		PH		PAS		WARI-SAN		LAIN LAIN		JUMLAH
SEM MALAYSIA		49		97		18		0		1		165
SARAWAK		19		10		0		0		2		31
SABAH/ LABUAN		11		6		0		8		1		26
JUMLAH		79		113		18		8		4		222
ANGKA RAMALAN
SEM MALAYSIA		93		62		10		0		0		165
SARAWAK		25		6		0		0		0		31
SABAH/ LABUAN		17		6		0		3		0		26
JUMLAH		135		74		10		3		0		222

Ramalan kali ini ternyata  tersasar kerana tidak menjangka pengaruh Tun Mahathir masih begitu meluas di kalangan pengundi  Melayu di hampir semua kawasan di pantai Barat Semenanjung.  Bagaimanapun jangkaan penulis yang pengaruh beliau di Kelantan dan Trengganu  amat terhad ternyata tepat. Disamping itu jangkaan kita yang  PAS akan mengalami kekalahan teruk diluar kawasan tradisinya amat tepat sekali.

Malaysia Polls Could Be In Late April Or Early May

(ST) – Malaysia could dissolve Parliament this month, cutting short its current sitting and paving the way for polls next month or in May, sources told The Straits Times.

As government and opposition leaders criss-crossed the country this past month to prepare for the upcoming polls, Prime Minister Najib Razak is expected to table new electoral maps next week, which critics say favour his ruling coalition Barisan Nasional (BN).

Approval of these new maps could be the last business for this Parliament, which had been scheduled to sit until April 5. The new boundaries could be passed by lawmakers and given royal assent within days.

Parliament had earlier been expected to also debate a proposed law to curb fake news, but this may be abandoned as the draft Bill is not ready yet.